Par Ana Palacio
The institutional and principled foreign policy of postwar United States will be replaced by a transactional approach. It is an unstable basis for world order.
Donald J. Trump’s electoral victory on November 8 is an inflection point for the United States and the world. Trump was a change candidate and change is coming both domestically and globally. But what are the implications of a Trump Presidency? This reflection considers what could be the drivers in the first years of a Trump presidency, with the understanding that it is still very early.
The election confirmed what has been known for quite a while, that the United States is a country deeply divided. The foremost priority for the new administration will be trying to bridge this gap. This will be difficult. Mr. Trump in particular seems ill-suited to pursue such an effort after a campaign of such vitriol and vulgarity. This combined with the manifest breakdown of the tools used to understand the public—the ever-wrong polling and surveys—mean charting a strong course of unity will be an uphill battle. Despite the reassuring words from Trump, President Obama, and Hillary Clinton following the election, the domestic scene in the United States could be unsettled for the foreseeable future. In this context, a President Trump can be expected to pursue headline initiatives that emphasize success in an attempt to move beyond the rhetoric of the campaign and to mollify his base of support.At the outset, it must be emphasized once again that these are early days and much remains unknown about what is to come. Beyond the nature of Trump’s relationship with a Republican-controlled Congress, from which he is already showing signs of independence, the first question to be answered is what team Trump will bring with him to Washington.